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October 30, 2004
311-227
Here's my prediction for the Presidential election on Tuesday, barring any true October surprise. I'm predicting that in the states that are solidly red or blue, Bush or Kerry will get more than 55% of the vote. In the lightly shaded states, Bush or Kerry will win but with less than 55% of the vote.
As far as the popular vote will break down -- I have no idea. How could I? Could be a blowout either way, could be down to the wire. But this is my prediction for how the states will vote. Notice that there are quite a few more solidly 55%+ Bush states. Could that explain his lead in a lot of the tracking polls, but Kerry's lead in the battleground states, which will truly be battlegrounds?
Don't know. Guess we'll have to see. See you on Tuesday.
Posted by Chris at October 30, 2004 07:59 PM
Comments
Oh to be a pink state again...If Georgia goes pink on Tuesday, it's a landslide.
Posted by: MelGX at October 31, 2004 08:21 AM
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